Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001447 0.001618 0.001791 0.001978 0.002175 0.002375 0.002593
2025-01-05 0.001203 0.001450 0.001708 0.001997 0.002308 0.002631 0.002992
2025-01-12 0.001024 0.001329 0.001658 0.002035 0.002452 0.002893 0.003392
2025-01-19 0.000814 0.001152 0.001531 0.001977 0.002481 0.003025 0.003649
2025-01-26 0.000664 0.001028 0.001451 0.001963 0.002552 0.003197 0.003948
2025-02-02 0.000539 0.000920 0.001379 0.001948 0.002616 0.003359 0.004233
2025-02-09 0.000483 0.000890 0.001396 0.002035 0.002795 0.003648 0.004659
2025-02-16 0.000399 0.000815 0.001350 0.002042 0.002877 0.003824 0.004957
2025-02-23 0.000297 0.000700 0.001245 0.001970 0.002860 0.003883 0.005118
2025-03-02 0.000215 0.000601 0.001153 0.001906 0.002849 0.003945 0.005279
2025-03-09 0.000152 0.000519 0.001074 0.001854 0.002847 0.004015 0.005446
2025-03-16 0.000108 0.000458 0.001019 0.001830 0.002876 0.004117 0.005650
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000405 0.000987 0.001854 0.002992 0.004356 0.006053
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000359 0.000962 0.001887 0.003122 0.004617 0.006489
2025-04-06 0.000021 0.000323 0.000948 0.001936 0.003273 0.004905 0.006960
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000253 0.000868 0.001886 0.003295 0.005036 0.007247
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000206 0.000819 0.001877 0.003368 0.005229 0.007606
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000165 0.000772 0.001866 0.003436 0.005414 0.007958
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000156 0.000790 0.001954 0.003636 0.005766 0.008511
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000127 0.000758 0.001962 0.003728 0.005980 0.008896
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000085 0.000682 0.001892 0.003709 0.006052 0.009107
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000053 0.000614 0.001831 0.003698 0.006131 0.009325
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000031 0.000556 0.001781 0.003698 0.006223 0.009557